by John
DeGaspari,
Associate Editor |
When it comes
to quenching the public's thirst for gasoline, oil refiners in
the United States find themselves between a rock and a hard place. Average
gasoline consumption in the country has been climbing steadily for the
last decadeat a rate of almost 2 percent a yearwhile there
has been virtually no growth in refinery capacity.
Although 145 petroleum refineries operate in the 50 states, no major refinery
has been built in the country in the past 25 years, according to Ron Planting,
manager for information and analysis for the American Petroleum Institute
in Washington, D.C.
Meanwhile, refineries' average utilization ratethe percentage
of total capacity that is being used to make productsruns well
above 90 percent. For the first eight months of this year, refineries
averaged 92.4 percent of capacity, and it is not unusual for the rate
to climb four or five percentage points while the demand for gasoline
is most acute, from June through August.
Pushing a refinery distillation column to its limits to meet heightened
demand is a tricky undertaking that could result in an unwanted phenomenon
called column flooding. As petroleum is distilled, various components
of the crude oil remain separated from each other on porous trays inside
the column. During a flood, butane, gasoline, asphalt, and other distilled
crude oil products begin to commingle with each other inside the column.
A flood results in off-spec products and, because the distillation will
have to be redone, wastes the energy that went into boiling the crude
in the first place. It can also damage equipment and require the tower
to shut down. One way that refiners counteract column flooding is to reduce
the amount of crude flowing in, until the system returns to steady state.
Yet refineries have a significant incentive to boost their production
during times of high demand. When demand pushes up crude prices, the value
of that barreland the profits from italso rise. There's
also the question of energy efficiency. Petroleum distillation is an energy-intensive
process, consuming about 40 percent of the energy used in oil refining.
Improving energy efficiency by a couple of percentage points could save
at least half a trillion British thermal units per year.
A start-up company in St. John, Ind., 2ndpoint Inc., says it has developed
pattern-recognition software that warns of column flooding. George Dzyacky,
who developed the predictor, has spent 25 years in fluid catalytic cracking
refining operations.
Crude oil is made of a variety of hydrocarbon products, ranging from light
components such as gasoline to heavy ones, including asphalt. In a refinery,
crude oil is fed into a distillation column, where it is boiled to separate
it into usable products. The heavier the component, the closer it is to
the heat source.
Operators know that columns have a severity limit or flooding threshold.
Going beyond that point means that the column may go into flood. The traditional
way to determine that threshold is to look at delta pressure, or the difference
in pressure between the top and bottom of the column. Delta pressure is
an inference point of flooding that column operators use as an upper safe
limit.
Refineries try to boost their output as gasoline margins rise. A column
operator typically tries to nudge production upward, flirting with a flood
to take advantage of higher gasoline value. In the worst case, the delta
pressure increases exponentially as the column begins to flood. Complicating
matters further, the delta pressure point varies, depending on the grade
of crude oil. Lighter grades, such as West Texas Intermediate, would tend
to flood sooner than a heavier variety of crude oil.
Dzyacky arrived at his idea for a predictor while he was employed as a
console operator in the distillation section of a large refinery. "I
was operating columns that were flooding constantly," he said.
He focused on changes in process variables in the distillation column
and looked for patterns that would act as advance signals that the column
was moving toward a flood. Dzyacky said that he used the distillation
column to verify the accuracy of the flooding predictor, and worked with
the control engineer at the refinery to allow the predictor to automatically
reduce the column severity at the earliest signs of flooding. The flooding
problem disappeared, he said.
 |
| Separations Research Program equipment
tested the effectiveness of pattern recognition software to predict
distillation column instabilities. |
The flooding predictor is based on variables of flow, temperature, and
pressure measured by standard instrumentation already on the column. The
flooding pattern emerges in the rates of change in the column variables.
Dzyacky has identified two flooding mechanisms or patterns. One, the more
typical, occurs when too much liquid is introduced into the column. The
other is triggered by an excess of vapor, which results from too high
a temperature at the bottom of the column.
Dzyacky said that, by knowing the actual beginnings of flooding, the operator
knows how much he can push the column to distill more products.
The flooding predictor will identify the incipient flood point regardless
of the grade of crude oil and will provide the operator with information
to reduce throughput when necessary. The key, Dzyacky said, is that the
pattern recognition technique provides the operator with the means to
identify the changes in the column in real time.
Dzyacky estimates that refineries could push their throughputs from 90
percent to 99 percent of incipient flooding. In other words, it would
allow the column to be operated that much closer to the true flood point
than possible with the delta pressure method.
The U.S. Department of Energy has awarded a cooperative research and development
agreement to 2ndpoint. Under part of the agreement, Dzyacky has subcontracted
the University of Texas to test the column flooding predictor at its Separations
Research Program facility.
Dzyacky said the Separations Research team has de- monstrated that the
flooding predictor works. He is
now working with them to identify a scientific basis for the technology.
The Motiva refinery in Norco, La., has signed on as a partner to run the
flooding predictor on a commercial-scale distillation column. Data from
those tests will be fed into the ongoing work at the University of Texas.
Bruce Eldridge, director of the Separations Research Program, said that
the flooding predictor is a potential improvement over state-of-the-art
process control based on a predictive model of the distillation column.
The flooding predictor looks at what is actually happening and reacts
to changes in the process, he said.
Eldridge noted that the demonstration tests were "idealized,"
but believes that the predictor has promise. He called the flooding predictor
a tool that, if validated, could save a significant amount of energy and
increase throughput on some facilities.
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